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The Mortgage Doctors Blog

The New Mortgage Reality: Rates, Jobs, and the Renewal Pressure

Canada’s mortgage market is entering a new phase — one defined less by rate speculation and more by careful planning.

Recent signals from the Bank of Canada suggest that interest rate cuts will be measured and cautious. Structural pressures in the economy, including global trade challenges and slower productivity growth, mean inflation risks haven’t fully disappeared.

At the same time, the labour market is cooling. Employment has softened, yet the unemployment rate remains relatively stable. This points to slower momentum, not a sharp downturn — and reinforces why policymakers are remaining patient.

Layered on top of this is a significant mortgage renewal wave. Millions of Canadians are renewing at rates well above what they’ve known in recent years. While arrears have edged higher in certain markets, most borrowers are adapting by extending amortizations, restructuring debt, and making thoughtful adjustments to protect cash flow.

The takeaway is clear: relief is likely to be gradual, not immediate. In this environment, success isn’t about timing rates — it’s about planning early, structuring your mortgage properly, and building flexibility into your strategy.

If you’re renewing in the next 6–18 months, considering a refinance, or planning a purchase, now is the time for a proactive mortgage review. A small adjustment today can make a meaningful difference to your long-term financial picture. Reach out to The Mortgage Doctors Inc to start the conversation.

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